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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.80 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa39%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante33%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
39% / 28% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dupla Chance1272%1.39
Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%Goals 2.5Acima53%1.89
Sim 57% · Não 43%Ambas as equipes marcamSim57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Porto B winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FC Porto B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.34

Mandante share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 53% · Abaixo 47%

FC Porto B1.46

Visitante share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 57% · Não 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.34
Expected goals
1.46
Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Porto B signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa ganhou 39%,Empate 28%,FC Porto B ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Acima 2.5 53% · Current selection Acima