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PRT 葡萄牙甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs 波爾圖B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝39%
28%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania Lourosa波爾圖B
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.553% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
39% / 28% / 33%比賽結果主勝39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)雙重機會1272%1.39
大 53% · 小 47%Goals 2.553%1.89
是 57% · 否 43%雙方進球57%1.75
2.78 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gap波爾圖B winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
波爾圖B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

主隊 share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 53% · 47%

波爾圖B1.45

客隊 share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

波爾圖B

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania Lourosa波爾圖B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02波爾圖B signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs 波爾圖B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa 39%, 28%,波爾圖B 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · 大2.5 53% · Current selection