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PRT Portugalia - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy39%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
39% / 28% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Podwójna szansa1272%1.39
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Porto B winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Remis28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FC Porto B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

FC Porto B1.45

Goście share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Porto B signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa wygrana 39%,Remis 28%,FC Porto B wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej