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PRT Португалия - Лига Сегунда · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs ФК Порту Б

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaФК Порту Б
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 28% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двойной шанс1272%1.39
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapФК Порту Б winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
ФК Порту Б win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

ФК Порту Б1.45

Гости share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Порту Б

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania LourosaФК Порту Б
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Порту Б signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs ФК Порту Б FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa выигрыш 39%,Ничья 28%,ФК Порту Б выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше