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PRT ポルトガル セグンダリーガ · Round 1 ·

ルシタニアFC vs FCポルトB

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ルシタニアFCFCポルトB
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 28% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)ダブルチャンス1272%1.39
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.78 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFCポルトB winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ルシタニアFC win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FCポルトB win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ルシタニアFC1.33

ホーム share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

FCポルトB1.45

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ルシタニアFC

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FCポルトB

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
ルシタニアFCFCポルトB
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ルシタニアFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FCポルトB signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ルシタニアFC vs FCポルトB FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ルシタニアFC 勝ち 39%,引き分け 28%,FCポルトB 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー