Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 25% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (19.7%)Doppia Chance1X80.3%1.25
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì50%2.00
2.91 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Coritiba win55%1.82
Pareggio25%4.00
Chapecoense win20%5.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals2.91Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%
Trasferta share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCoritiba
LDLLW
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchChapecoense
DLLLL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1
SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%4
Points from supplied form
12.05
Expected goals
0.86CoritibaChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Coritiba vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Coritiba vinta 55%，Pareggio 25%，Chapecoense vinta 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.91 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra。