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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Coritiba vs Шапекоэнсе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score2–1CoritibaШапекоэнсе
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 25% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шапекоэнсе win (19.7%)Двойной шанс1X80.3%1.25
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
2.91 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Coritiba win55%1.82
Ничья25%4.00
Шапекоэнсе win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coritiba2.05

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Шапекоэнсе0.86

Гости share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Coritiba

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шапекоэнсе

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.05
Expected goals
0.86
CoritibaШапекоэнсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coritiba signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шапекоэнсе signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Coritiba vs Шапекоэнсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coritiba выигрыш 55%,Ничья 25%,Шапекоэнсе выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше