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BRA 巴西甲級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

哥列迪巴 vs 沙佩科恩斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝55%
25%
客勝20%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝55% selection probability
Projected score2–1哥列迪巴沙佩科恩斯
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
55% / 25% / 20%比賽結果主勝55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 沙佩科恩斯 win (19.7%)雙重機會1X80.3%1.25
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.91 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
哥列迪巴 win55%1.82
25%4.00
沙佩科恩斯 win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

哥列迪巴2.05

主隊 share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

沙佩科恩斯0.86

客隊 share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

哥列迪巴

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

沙佩科恩斯

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
贏 probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.05
Expected goals
0.86
哥列迪巴沙佩科恩斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01哥列迪巴 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02沙佩科恩斯 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

哥列迪巴 vs 沙佩科恩斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

哥列迪巴 55%, 25%,沙佩科恩斯 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection