Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 25% / 20%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (19.7%)Double chance1X80.3%1.25
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Coritiba win55%1.82
Draw25%4.00
Chapecoense win20%5.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals2.91Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCoritiba
LDLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchChapecoense
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
20%4
Points from supplied form
12.05
Expected goals
0.86CoritibaChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Coritiba vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Coritiba win 55%，Draw 25%，Chapecoense win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。