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BRA Brazil Serie A · Partita ·

Botafogo vs Fluminense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite30%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–1BotafogoFluminense
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 29% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Doppia Chance1270.7%1.41
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2029.7%-0.7 pp
Fluminense win30%3.333.1030.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo1.70

Casa share of expected goals 58.6%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%

Fluminense1.20

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Botafogo

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Fluminense

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.20
BotafogoFluminense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fluminense signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Botafogo vs Fluminense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo vinta 40%,Pareggio 29%,Fluminense vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra