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BRA Brazil Serie A · Meci ·

Botafogo vs Fluminense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score2–1BotafogoFluminense
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 29% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Șansă dublă1270.7%1.41
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 58% · Nu 42%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Botafogo win40%2.502.4039.6%+0.4 pp
Egal29%3.453.2029.7%-0.7 pp
Fluminense win30%3.333.1030.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Botafogo1.70

Gazde share of expected goals 58.6%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Fluminense1.20

Oaspeți share of expected goals 41.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 58% · Nu 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Botafogo

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Fluminense

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.20
BotafogoFluminense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Botafogo signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fluminense signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Botafogo vs Fluminense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Botafogo câștig 40%,Egal 29%,Fluminense câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste