Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 23% / 11%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (11.2%)Double chance1X88.8%1.13
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapCeara winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ceara win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
Draw23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Ponte Preta win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.9%
Total expected goals2.63Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 28.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCeara
WLDDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchPonte Preta
DLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
66%
Win probability excluding draw
11%5
Points from supplied form
11.89
Expected goals
0.74CearaPonte Preta
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Ceara vs Ponte Preta FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ceara win 66%，Draw 23%，Ponte Preta win 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。