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BRA 巴西乙級聯賽 · Round 20 ·

斯亞拉 vs 龐特普雷塔

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝66%
23%
客勝11%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝66% selection probability
Projected score2–1斯亞拉龐特普雷塔
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
66% / 23% / 11%比賽結果主勝66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 龐特普雷塔 win (11.2%)雙重機會1X88.8%1.13
大 49% · 小 51%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.63 total expected goals正確比分2–1
10.3 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gap斯亞拉 winDifference-0.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
斯亞拉 win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
龐特普雷塔 win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

斯亞拉1.89

主隊 share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 49% · 51%

龐特普雷塔0.74

客隊 share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

斯亞拉

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

龐特普雷塔

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
贏 probability excluding draw
11%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.74
斯亞拉龐特普雷塔
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01斯亞拉 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02龐特普雷塔 signal主隊 failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

斯亞拉 vs 龐特普雷塔 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

斯亞拉 66%, 23%,龐特普雷塔 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · 大2.5 49% · Current selection