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Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Сеара vs Понте Прета

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина66%
Равен23%
Победа за госта11%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина66% selection probability
Projected score2–1СеараПонте Прета
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
66% / 23% / 11%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Понте Прета win (11.2%)Двоен шанс1X88.8%1.13
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapСеара winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сеара win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
Равен23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Понте Прета win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сеара1.89

Домакин share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Понте Прета0.74

Гост share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Сеара

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Понте Прета

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
11%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.74
СеараПонте Прета
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сеара signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Понте Прета signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Сеара vs Понте Прета FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сеара печеливш 66%,Равен 23%,Понте Прета печеливш 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под