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BRA Brazil Serie B · Round 20 ·

Σεαρά vs Πόντε Πρέτα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου66%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου11%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου66% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΣεαράΠόντε Πρέτα
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
66% / 23% / 11%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Πόντε Πρέτα win (11.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X88.8%1.13
Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%Goals 2.5Κάτω51%1.96
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapΣεαρά winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σεαρά win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Πόντε Πρέτα win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σεαρά1.89

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%

Πόντε Πρέτα0.74

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σεαρά

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πόντε Πρέτα

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
11%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.74
ΣεαράΠόντε Πρέτα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σεαρά signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πόντε Πρέτα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Σεαρά vs Πόντε Πρέτα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σεαρά νίκη 66%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Πόντε Πρέτα νίκη 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Άνω 2.5 49% · Current selection Κάτω