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BRA Brasil - Serie B · Round 20 ·

Ceará vs Ponte Preta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local66%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante11%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local66% selection probability
Projected score2–1CearáPonte Preta
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
66% / 23% / 11%Resultado del partidoVictoria local66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ponte Preta win (11.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X88.8%1.13
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.63 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapCeará winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ceará win66%1.521.4266.1%-0.1 pp
Empate23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Ponte Preta win11%9.098.5011%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ceará1.89

Local share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

Ponte Preta0.74

Visitante share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ceará

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Ganado probability excluding draw
11%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.74
CearáPonte Preta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ceará signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponte Preta signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ceará vs Ponte Preta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ceará ganada 66%,Empate 23%,Ponte Preta ganada 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de