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DEU Allemagne - Bundesliga II · Match ·

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 26% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 58% · Non 42%Les deux équipes marquentOui58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNurnberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nurnberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Nul26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.76

Domicile share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Extérieur share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 58% · Non 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg victoire 44%,Nul 26%,Arminia Bielefeld victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de