MatchFormula Găsește un meci
Menu
UTC+8
Fus orarAsia/Shanghai
Română
DEU Germania - Bundesliga II · Meci ·

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 26% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Șansă dublă1274.3%1.35
Peste 57% · Sub 43%Goals 2.5Peste57%1.75
Da 58% · Nu 42%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNurnberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nurnberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Egal26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.76

Gazde share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 57% · Sub 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 58% · Nu 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg câștig 44%,Egal 26%,Arminia Bielefeld câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Peste 2.5 57% · Current selection Peste