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DEU Германия - Бундеслига II · Матч ·

Нюрнберг vs Арминия Билефельд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score2–1НюрнбергАрминия Билефельд
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 26% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 58% · Нет 42%Обе забьютДа58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapНюрнберг winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нюрнберг win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Арминия Билефельд win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нюрнберг1.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

Арминия Билефельд1.19

Гости share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Нет 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нюрнберг

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Арминия Билефельд

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
НюрнбергАрминия Билефельд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нюрнберг signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Арминия Билефельд signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Нюрнберг vs Арминия Билефельд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нюрнберг выигрыш 44%,Ничья 26%,Арминия Билефельд выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше