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DEU Niemcy - Bundesliga II · Mecz ·

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości31%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 26% / 31%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Podwójna szansa1274.3%1.35
Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%Goals 2.5Powyżej57%1.75
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNurnberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nurnberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Remis26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.76

Gospodarze share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Goście share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg wygrana 44%,Remis 26%,Arminia Bielefeld wygrana 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Powyżej 2.5 57% · Current selection Powyżej