MatchFormula Encontrar uma partida
Menu
UTC+8
Fuso horárioAsia/Shanghai
Português
DEU Alemanha - Bundesliga II · Partida ·

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 26% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dupla Chance1274.3%1.35
Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%Goals 2.5Acima57%1.75
Sim 58% · Não 42%Ambas as equipes marcamSim58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNurnberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nurnberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nurnberg1.76

Mandante share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 58% · Não 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NurnbergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nurnberg signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nurnberg ganhou 44%,Empate 26%,Arminia Bielefeld ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Acima 2.5 57% · Current selection Acima