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DEU Nemecko - Bundesliga II · Zápas ·

Norimberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich44%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí31%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorimbergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
44% / 26% / 31%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dvojitá šanca1274.3%1.35
Viac 57% · Menej 43%Goals 2.5Viac57%1.75
Áno 58% · Nie 42%Oba tímy skórujúÁno58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNorimberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Norimberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Remíza26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Norimberg1.76

Domáci share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 57% · Menej 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Hostia share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Norimberg

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NorimbergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Norimberg signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Norimberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Norimberg výhra 44%,Remíza 26%,Arminia Bielefeld výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Viac 2.5 57% · Current selection Viac