MatchFormula Buscar un partido
Menu
UTC+8
Zona horariaAsia/Shanghai
Español
DEU Alemania - Bundesliga II · Partido ·

Núremberg vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1NúrembergArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 26% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Doble Oportunidad1274.3%1.35
Más de 57% · Menos de 43%Goals 2.5Más de57%1.75
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
2.95 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapNúremberg winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Núremberg win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
Empate26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Núremberg1.76

Local share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 57% · Menos de 43%

Arminia Bielefeld1.19

Visitante share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Núremberg

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
NúrembergArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Núremberg signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Núremberg vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Núremberg ganada 44%,Empate 26%,Arminia Bielefeld ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Más de 2.5 57% · Current selection Más de