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DEU Alemania - Bundesliga II · Partido ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 26% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1273.5%1.36
Más de 64% · Menos de 36%Goals 2.5Más de64%1.56
Sí 66% · No 34%Ambos equipos marcan66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Empate26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Local share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 64% · Menos de 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Visitante share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg ganada 40%,Empate 26%,Holstein Kiel ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Más de 2.5 64% · Current selection Más de