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DEU Duitsland - Bundesliga II · Wedstrijd ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 26% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dubbele Kans1273.5%1.36
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Thuis share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Uit share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 26%,Holstein Kiel gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven