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DEU 德國乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

馬德堡 vs 基爾高士丁

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
26%
客勝34%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score2–2馬德堡基爾高士丁
Expected goals3.32初盤 match profile
Goals 2.564% for the selected side
雙方進球66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 26% / 34%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)雙重機會1273.5%1.36
大 64% · 小 36%Goals 2.564%1.56
是 66% · 否 34%雙方進球66%1.52
3.32 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
馬德堡 win40%2.50
26%3.85
基爾高士丁 win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬德堡1.77

主隊 share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32初盤

Dedicated goals model: 64% · 36%

基爾高士丁1.55

客隊 share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 66% · 34%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬德堡

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

基爾高士丁

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
馬德堡基爾高士丁
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬德堡 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02基爾高士丁 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

馬德堡 vs 基爾高士丁 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬德堡 40%, 26%,基爾高士丁 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · 大2.5 64% · Current selection