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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Kamp ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier40%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier34%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
40% / 26% / 34%KampresultatHjemmeseier40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dobbel sjanse1273.5%1.36
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nei 34%Begge lag scorerJa66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Uavgjort26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Borte share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nei 34%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg vunnet 40%,Uavgjort 26%,Holstein Kiel vunnet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over