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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Maç ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır34%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst64% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 26% / 34%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Çifte Şans1273.5%1.36
Üst 64% · Alt 36%Goals 2.5Üst64%1.56
Evet 66% · Hayır 34%Karşılıklı gol varEvet66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–2
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Beraberlik26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 64% · Alt 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitEvet 66% · Hayır 34%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 26%,Holstein Kiel kazanç 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · 2.5 Üst 64% · Current selection Üst