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DEU Allemagne - Bundesliga II · Match ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 26% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 66% · Non 34%Les deux équipes marquentOui66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Nul26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Domicile share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 66% · Non 34%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg victoire 40%,Nul 26%,Holstein Kiel victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de