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DEU Germania - Bundesliga II · Partita ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 26% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppia Chance1273.5%1.36
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 66% · No 34%Entrambe le squadre segnano66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Pareggio26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Casa share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 66% · No 34%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg vinta 40%,Pareggio 26%,Holstein Kiel vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra