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DEU Deutschland - 2. Bundesliga · Spiel ·

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg40%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg40% selection probability
Projected score2–2MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Expected goals3.32Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
40% / 26% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doppelte Chance1273.5%1.36
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Magdeburg win40%2.50
Unentschieden26%3.85
Holstein Kiel win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Magdeburg1.77

Heim share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals3.32Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

Holstein Kiel1.55

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Magdeburg

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Holstein Kiel

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.55
MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Magdeburg signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstein Kiel signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Magdeburg Gewinn 40%,Unentschieden 26%,Holstein Kiel Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction, Stats, Probabilities & Form | MatchFormula