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DEU ドイツ ブンデスリーガII · 試合 ·

ニュルンベルク vs アルミニア・ビーレフェルト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score2–1ニュルンベルクアルミニア・ビーレフェルト
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 26% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1274.3%1.35
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.95 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapニュルンベルク winDifference+0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ニュルンベルク win44%2.272.1543.2%+0.8 pp
引き分け26%3.853.6025.8%+0.2 pp
アルミニア・ビーレフェルト win31%3.233.0031%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ニュルンベルク1.76

ホーム share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

アルミニア・ビーレフェルト1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ニュルンベルク

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アルミニア・ビーレフェルト

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
13
Points from supplied form
12
1.76
Expected goals
1.19
ニュルンベルクアルミニア・ビーレフェルト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ニュルンベルク signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アルミニア・ビーレフェルト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ニュルンベルク vs アルミニア・ビーレフェルト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ニュルンベルク 勝ち 44%,引き分け 26%,アルミニア・ビーレフェルト 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー