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HRV Croatie - HNL · Final ·

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–4Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 28% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Double chance1272.1%1.39
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNK Varazdin winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slaven Belupo win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
NK Varazdin win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slaven Belupo1.28

Domicile share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

NK Varazdin1.53

Extérieur share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Slaven Belupo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slaven Belupo signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Varazdin signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slaven Belupo victoire 37%,Nul 28%,NK Varazdin victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de