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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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HRV Horvátország - HNL · Round 2 ·

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem37%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem35%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett53% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
37% / 28% / 35%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dupla esély1272.1%1.39
Felett 53% · Alatt 47%Goals 2.5Felett53%1.89
Igen 57% · Nem 43%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNK Varazdin winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slaven Belupo win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
NK Varazdin win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slaven Belupo1.28

Hazai share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 53% · Alatt 47%

NK Varazdin1.53

Vendég share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 57% · Nem 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Slaven Belupo

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

NK Varazdin

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Nyert probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slaven Belupo signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Varazdin signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slaven Belupo nyer 37%,Döntetlen 28%,NK Varazdin nyer 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · 2.5 felett 53% · Current selection Felett