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HRV Croacia - Primera Liga · Round 2 ·

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varaždin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Slaven BelupoNK Varaždin
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 28% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doble Oportunidad1272.1%1.39
Más de 53% · Menos de 47%Goals 2.5Más de53%1.89
Sí 57% · No 43%Ambos equipos marcan57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNK Varaždin winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slaven Belupo win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
NK Varaždin win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slaven Belupo1.28

Local share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 53% · Menos de 47%

NK Varaždin1.53

Visitante share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Slaven Belupo

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

NK Varaždin

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Slaven BelupoNK Varaždin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slaven Belupo signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Varaždin signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varaždin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slaven Belupo ganada 37%,Empate 28%,NK Varaždin ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Más de 2.5 53% · Current selection Más de