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HRV Horvaatia HNL · Final ·

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varaždin

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score1–4Ennustus 1–2
Võõras form
Koduvõit37%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit35%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Slaven BelupoNK Varaždin
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
37% / 28% / 35%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Topeltvõimalus1272.1%1.39
Üle 53% · Alla 47%Goals 2.5Üle53%1.89
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
9.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNK Varaždin winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slaven Belupo win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Viik28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
NK Varaždin win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slaven Belupo1.28

Kodu share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 53% · Alla 47%

NK Varaždin1.53

Võõras share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Slaven Belupo

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

NK Varaždin

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Võit probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Slaven BelupoNK Varaždin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slaven Belupo signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Varaždin signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Slaven Belupo vs NK Varaždin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slaven Belupo võit 37%,Viik 28%,NK Varaždin võit 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Üle 2.5 53% · Current selection Üle