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HRV クロアチア HNL · Round 2 ·

スラヴェンベルポ vs NKヴァラジュディン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–2スラヴェンベルポNKヴァラジュディン
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 28% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)ダブルチャンス1272.1%1.39
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
2.81 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNKヴァラジュディン winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
スラヴェンベルポ win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
NKヴァラジュディン win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

スラヴェンベルポ1.28

ホーム share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

NKヴァラジュディン1.53

アウェイ share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

スラヴェンベルポ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

NKヴァラジュディン

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
スラヴェンベルポNKヴァラジュディン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01スラヴェンベルポ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NKヴァラジュディン signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

スラヴェンベルポ vs NKヴァラジュディン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

スラヴェンベルポ 勝ち 37%,引き分け 28%,NKヴァラジュディン 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー