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HRV Хорватия - Национальная лига · Round 2 ·

Славен Белупо vs ФК Вараждин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Славен БелупоФК Вараждин
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 28% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Двойной шанс1272.1%1.39
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapФК Вараждин winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Славен Белупо win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
ФК Вараждин win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Славен Белупо1.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

ФК Вараждин1.53

Гости share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Славен Белупо

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Вараждин

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Славен БелупоФК Вараждин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Славен Белупо signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Вараждин signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Славен Белупо vs ФК Вараждин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Славен Белупо выигрыш 37%,Ничья 28%,ФК Вараждин выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше