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HRV Хърватия - ХНЛ · Round 2 ·

Славен Белупо vs НК Вараждин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.81 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен28%
Победа за госта35%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Славен БелупоНК Вараждин
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 28% / 35%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Двоен шанс1272.1%1.39
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapНК Вараждин winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Славен Белупо win37%2.702.4537.2%-0.2 pp
Равен28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
НК Вараждин win35%2.862.6334.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Славен Белупо1.28

Домакин share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

НК Вараждин1.53

Гост share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Славен Белупо

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

НК Вараждин

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.28
Expected goals
1.53
Славен БелупоНК Вараждин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Славен Белупо signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02НК Вараждин signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Славен Белупо vs НК Вараждин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Славен Белупо печеливш 37%,Равен 28%,НК Вараждин печеливш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над