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HRV Хърватия - ХНЛ · Round 1 ·

Хайдук Сплит vs Истра 1961

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина54%
Равен26%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Хайдук СплитИстра 1961
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
54% / 26% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Истра 1961 win (19.5%)Двоен шанс1X80.5%1.24
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Хайдук Сплит win54%1.85
Равен26%3.85
Истра 1961 win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хайдук Сплит1.94

Домакин share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Истра 19610.79

Гост share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хайдук Сплит

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Истра 1961

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
0.79
Хайдук СплитИстра 1961
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хайдук Сплит signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Истра 1961 signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Хайдук Сплит vs Истра 1961 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хайдук Сплит печеливш 54%,Равен 26%,Истра 1961 печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над