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HRV Хърватия - ХНЛ · Round 1 ·

Славен Белупо vs НК Вараждин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина33%
Равен28%
Победа за госта39%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Славен БелупоНК Вараждин
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
33% / 28% / 39%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Двоен шанс1271.8%1.39
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Славен Белупо win33%3.03
Равен28%3.57
НК Вараждин win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Славен Белупо1.30

Домакин share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

НК Вараждин1.52

Гост share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Славен Белупо

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

НК Вараждин

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Славен БелупоНК Вараждин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Славен Белупо signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02НК Вараждин signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Славен Белупо vs НК Вараждин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Славен Белупо печеливш 33%,Равен 28%,НК Вараждин печеливш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над