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HRV Хорватия - Национальная лига · Round 1 ·

Славен Белупо vs ФК Вараждин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев33%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Славен БелупоФК Вараждин
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
33% / 28% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Двойной шанс1271.8%1.39
Больше 54% · Меньше 46%Goals 2.5Больше54%1.85
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Славен Белупо win33%3.03
Ничья28%3.57
ФК Вараждин win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Славен Белупо1.30

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 54% · Меньше 46%

ФК Вараждин1.52

Гости share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Славен Белупо

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Вараждин

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Славен БелупоФК Вараждин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Славен Белупо signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Вараждин signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Славен Белупо vs ФК Вараждин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Славен Белупо выигрыш 33%,Ничья 28%,ФК Вараждин выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · ТБ 2.5 54% · Current selection Больше