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HRV Κροατία - HNL · Round 1 ·

Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο vs ΝΚ Βαραζντίν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου33%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Σλάβεν ΜπέλουποΝΚ Βαραζντίν
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
33% / 28% / 39%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.8%1.39
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
2.82 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο win33%3.03
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
ΝΚ Βαραζντίν win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο1.30

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.1%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

ΝΚ Βαραζντίν1.52

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

ΝΚ Βαραζντίν

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.30
Expected goals
1.52
Σλάβεν ΜπέλουποΝΚ Βαραζντίν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ΝΚ Βαραζντίν signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο vs ΝΚ Βαραζντίν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σλάβεν Μπέλουπο νίκη 33%,Ισοπαλία 28%,ΝΚ Βαραζντίν νίκη 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω