Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 26% / 20%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Istra 1961 win (19.5%)Double chance1X80.5%1.24
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Hajduk Split win54%1.85
Draw26%3.85
Istra 1961 win20%5.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.1%
Total expected goals2.73Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 28.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchHajduk Split
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchIstra 1961
LDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
20%6
Points from supplied form
71.94
Expected goals
0.79Hajduk SplitIstra 1961
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Hajduk Split win 54%，Draw 26%，Istra 1961 win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。