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LTU Lituanie - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 22% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Nul22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Domicile share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris victoire 59%,Nul 22%,FC Hegelmann victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de