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LTU Lituania - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local59%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
59% / 22% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.3%1.23
Más de 62% · Menos de 38%Goals 2.5Más de62%1.61
Sí 53% · No 47%Ambos equipos marcan53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Zalgiris winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Zalgiris win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Empate22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Zalgiris2.34

Local share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 62% · Menos de 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Visitante share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ZalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Zalgiris signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Zalgiris ganada 59%,Empate 22%,FC Hegelmann ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Más de 2.5 62% · Current selection Más de