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LTU Litwa - A Lyga · Final ·

FK Kauno Żalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy59%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości19%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ŻalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
59% / 22% / 19%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Podwójna szansa1X81.3%1.23
Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%Goals 2.5Powyżej62%1.61
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Żalgiris winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Żalgiris win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Remis22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Żalgiris2.34

Gospodarze share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Goście share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Żalgiris

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ŻalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Żalgiris signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Żalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Żalgiris wygrana 59%,Remis 22%,FC Hegelmann wygrana 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Powyżej 2.5 62% · Current selection Powyżej