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LTU Litwa - A Lyga · Mecz ·

FK Transinvest vs FK Poniewież

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK TransinvestFK Poniewież
Expected goals3.21Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 24% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Poniewież win (20.4%)Podwójna szansa1X79.6%1.26
Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%Goals 2.5Powyżej62%1.61
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
3.21 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Transinvest winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Transinvest win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Remis24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
FK Poniewież win20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Transinvest2.14

Gospodarze share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.21Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 62% · Poniżej 38%

FK Poniewież1.07

Goście share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Poniewież

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkty4

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.14
Expected goals
1.07
FK TransinvestFK Poniewież
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Transinvest signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Poniewież signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Transinvest vs FK Poniewież FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Transinvest wygrana 56%,Remis 24%,FK Poniewież wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Powyżej 2.5 62% · Current selection Powyżej