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LTU Lithuania A Lyga · Fixture ·

FK Transinvest vs FK Panevezys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw24%
Away win20%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK TransinvestFK Panevezys
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 24% / 20%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Panevezys win (20.4%)Double chance1X79.6%1.26
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapFK Transinvest winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Transinvest win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
FK Panevezys win20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Transinvest2.14

Home share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

FK Panevezys1.07

Away share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Panevezys

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.14
Expected goals
1.07
FK TransinvestFK Panevezys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Transinvest signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Panevezys signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Transinvest vs FK Panevezys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Transinvest win 56%,Draw 24%,FK Panevezys win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over