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LTU Leedu A Lyga · Final ·

FK Kauno Žalgiris vs FC Hegelmann

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–0Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit59%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit19%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit59% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Kauno ŽalgirisFC Hegelmann
Expected goals3.23Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle62% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
59% / 22% / 19%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Hegelmann win (18.7%)Topeltvõimalus1X81.3%1.23
Üle 62% · Alla 38%Goals 2.5Üle62%1.61
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
3.23 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapFK Kauno Žalgiris winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kauno Žalgiris win59%1.691.5758.4%+0.6 pp
Viik22%4.554.1022.3%-0.3 pp
FC Hegelmann win19%5.264.7519.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kauno Žalgiris2.34

Kodu share of expected goals 72.4%

Total expected goals3.23Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 62% · Alla 38%

FC Hegelmann0.89

Võõras share of expected goals 27.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Žalgiris

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Võit probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
3
2.34
Expected goals
0.89
FK Kauno ŽalgirisFC Hegelmann
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kauno Žalgiris signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Hegelmann signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FK Kauno Žalgiris vs FC Hegelmann FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kauno Žalgiris võit 59%,Viik 22%,FC Hegelmann võit 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Üle 2.5 62% · Current selection Üle